Comments on: Election 2008: what really happened

By: In Mala Fide | Inter-class conflict: the rich versus the super-rich

In Mala Fide | Inter-class conflict: the rich versus the super-rich — Tue, 15 Dec 2009 10:59:42 +0000

[...] Finally, another analysis from the Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State blog (hat tip: Half Sigma) lends further credence to Frank’s observations: [...]

By: Yes, we can « alfanje

Yes, we can « alfanje — Tue, 08 Dec 2009 19:43:27 +0000

[...] De hecho, se había publicado uno casi idéntico poco antes. Ya he tenido tiempo de ver algunos análisis muy interesantes, e incluso una entrevista a mi ídolo en esta campaña, Nate Silver, el creador de 538.com , que [...]

By: Get Defunct Outta My Face [Dan Collins]

Get Defunct Outta My Face [Dan Collins] — Wed, 25 Mar 2009 01:22:39 +0000

[...] is the big lie of the Daily Kos-David Frum-Andrew Sullivan left-wing axis. While the youth vote turned out in large numbers in 2008 for the Democrats, the results in the long run may be specific to the issue of this [...]

By: Matthew Yglesias » Elections Getting Duller

Matthew Yglesias » Elections Getting Duller — Wed, 14 Jan 2009 19:19:07 +0000

[...] Election commentary had a tendency to get into some very fine-grained state-by-state analysis about what does and doesn’t appeal to voters in Pennsylvania or Colorado or the I-4 corridor in Florida and so forth. The evidence, however, was of a pretty boring more-or-less uniform national swing: [...]

By: Jim

Jim — Tue, 30 Dec 2008 22:18:33 +0000

Would Obama had still been elected if the minimum voting age was 21?

By: Election 2008: What Really Happened | The Morningside Post

Election 2008: What Really Happened | The Morningside Post — Tue, 30 Dec 2008 21:38:52 +0000

[...] I was just in Grant Park . . . it was pretty cool but I couldn’t actually hear anything. So I went back to my hotel room and crunched some numbers. [...]

By: Predicting the election outcome months ahead of time: discussion and link to revised paper with Kari Lock | Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State

Wed, 03 Dec 2008 02:04:09 +0000

[...] Election 2008: what really happened [...]

By: Dataset of the Day: How Did the Rich Vote? | Off the Map - Official Blog of FortiusOne

Mon, 17 Nov 2008 16:00:49 +0000

[...] by the Red State Blue State Rich State Poor State Blog shows that overall, within the $200 thousand income category, republican votes decreased in the [...]

By: on the left side….. » Blog Archive » Obama & Reiche

on the left side….. » Blog Archive » Obama & Reiche — Sat, 15 Nov 2008 21:42:17 +0000

[...] favorisierte übrigens jetzt der High-Tech-Sektor und der Finanzsektor Obama. Auch Andrew Gelman bestätigt diese herausragende Rolle der Demokraten unter den oberen Einkommensgruppen (die [...]

By: alex

alex — Fri, 14 Nov 2008 03:12:28 +0000

THanks 4 the graphs!!! used it for a school project

By: alaskagrafe

alaskagrafe — Wed, 12 Nov 2008 02:55:07 +0000

Do you have a beef with Alaska and Hawaii? No data displayed?

By: Pat

Pat — Tue, 11 Nov 2008 09:50:57 +0000

I would like it if you would look at something other than annual salary to define “rich” v. “poor”. Rather if possible look at net worth.

Someone who is earning a high income but is maxed out on credit cards may be saving less that someone with a smaller salary but higher savings ability. As a result that “high-income” earner is disproportionately effected but changes in the income taxes. Small increases in income taxes will push these high-earners/high-spenders into negative territory. Thus, these people are very sensitive to the anti-tax argument.

By: The myth of poor Democratic performance in House races | Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State

Mon, 10 Nov 2008 04:44:06 +0000

[...] beat Kerry nearly everywhere, fairly uniformly with only a few exceptions–we knew that–but my point here is that Obama’s swings weren’t quite as large, on average, as [...]

By: Fr.

Fr. — Sun, 09 Nov 2008 19:31:49 +0000

Andrew — I’ve read your wonderful code in the other post, that’s precisely why I want the code for these graphs too. I know too little about R and am eager to learn from these graphs!

I’m especially interested in the code for the first graphs, so that I can build my own using the exit polls I have collected on my side (same as yours, except I did not find the same data on age groups: CNN exit polls for 2000, 2004, 2008 do not use the same intervals).

Data here, with some French:
PDF: phnk.com/files/Briatte_ObamaExitPolls2008_3.pdf
XLS: phnk.com/files/Briatte_ObamaExitPolls2008_3.xls

By: I believe the children are our future « the nef triple crunch blog

I believe the children are our future « the nef triple crunch blog — Sun, 09 Nov 2008 12:40:07 +0000

[...] into the polling data in the wake of Obama’s victory, some interesting patterns are emerging. This, for instance, is pretty striking: Relative to 2004, the number of under 30s who voted stayed [...]