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What does non-uniform partisan swing look like?

November 7th, 2008, by Andrew

I wrote here here that the red/blue map was not redrawn; it was more of a national partisan swing. This raises the question of what a nonuniform swing would look like.

Here’s Ronald Reagan’s share of the two-party vote in 1980 and 1984, by state:

1980_1984.png

And here’s the swing from 1976 to 1980:

1976_1980.png

The average swing in each of these years was about the same as from 2004 to 2008, but, comparing the states, it was a lot less uniform.

1952/1956 here.

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Entry Filed under: Voting


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